The Elabe poll conducted for BFM TV and La Tribune Dimanche
Marine Le Pen remains firmly in first place in voting intentions for the first round of the presidential election, ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who is in second place; Édouard Philippe and Raphaël Glucksmann are declining instead, while Teddy Riner is credited with 4.5%, according to an Elabe poll published today.
In the survey, conducted for Bfmtv and La Tribune Dimanche, the Rassemblement National candidate remains clearly in the lead, standing at substantially stable values between 31% and 33%, depending on the scenarios considered. Jean-Luc Mélenchon, a member of La France Insoumise, gains between 1.5 and 2 percentage points and moves into second place, with a share of support between 17% and 18.5%.
His best result is recorded in the absence of Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin. Édouard Philippe loses 1.5 points: the Horizons candidate obtains 15% (2 points behind Jean-Luc Mélenchon) if Gabriel Attal and David Lisnard are not in the running, but Bruno Retailleau and Dominique de Villepin are present. His percentage drops to 12% if Gabriel Attal is also among the candidates, and to 13% if David Lisnard is present (in Attal's absence). The figure falls further to 9.5% in the scenario with the largest number of candidates.
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Translated from it by z-ai/glm-5.3-flash