Inmet: rain and storms prevail across the country this weekend

The National Institute of Meteorology (Inmet) reported that this Saturday (14), Sunday (15), and Monday (16), storms are forecast across the country, with emphasis on the Central-West and Southeast regions, as well as areas of the Northeast and North. Northern Pará, parts of the Northeast coast, and Brazil's far south should have stable weather. On Saturday (14), weather conditions favor heavy rain showers, with the possibility of severe storms, especially in Santa Catarina, Paraná, Mato Grosso do Sul, and areas of Rio Grande do Sul. According to Inmet, there will also be conditions for rain in part of Brazil's interior, with emphasis on areas between Bahia and Espírito Santo, where moisture convergence is expected to contribute to the formation of instabilities. Conditions may limit the occurrence of precipitation in parts of São Paulo, Minas Gerais, and the Central-West, although daytime heating and high moisture availability will still favor isolated showers. In the country's far north, Amapá is expected to come under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), favoring the occurrence of rain showers after a period of little precipitation. On Sunday (15), conditions for rain in Brazil's Center-South are forecast to expand, mainly in São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Minas Gerais, Goiás, Mato Grosso do Sul, and areas of the South Region. From Sunday night into the early hours of Monday (16), there is an indication of the possible formation of an area of low atmospheric pressure off the coast of the Southeast Region. This may help reorganize atmospheric circulation and favor the establishment of a moisture convergence zone between the North, Central-West, Southeast, and Northeast regions. According to Inmet, this pattern, combined with the maintenance of northerly flow at low levels and the action of new disturbances at mid-levels, should increase instability, enhancing conditions for rain in these regions. On Monday (16), the trend is for the continuation and intensification of instabilities in different parts of the country. The moisture channel may become more widespread, reaching areas that have not recorded significant rainfall in the recent period. The few areas with a lower probability of precipitation should be concentrated at Brazil's extremes, especially in northern Pará (PA), part of the northern Northeast Region, and the far south of Rio Grande do Sul (RS).