When to Trust Prediction Markets Over Polls in Elections

This is Washington Edition, the newsletter about money, power and politics in the nation’s capital. Every Friday, Bloomberg Intelligence senior analyst Nathan Dean gives his insights into what’s been happening and what’s coming up in the nooks and crannies of government and markets. Sign up here. Email our editors here. I spoke at a conference this week and received a question about prediction markets, specifically election-related contracts: “Can one trust them versus polling?”