Alejandro Catterberg stated that dismissing Manuel Adorni from his government position might not resolve the political crisis facing the ruling party, and that such a decision could even lead to new problems for President Javier Milei's administration. The political analyst made this assessment of the current political situation in Argentina during an interview on Odisea Argentina, broadcast on LN+.
"Having Adorni is a headache, but perhaps, removing him might create a new headache in the near future," said the director of the Poliarquía consulting firm, analyzing the situation facing the ruling party and the potential impact of Adorni's possible departure.
He explained that there are deeper conflicts related to internal disputes, relationships with the judiciary, and political tensions that influence the functioning of the ruling party. "There's a second level, slightly below the surface, that involves power struggles related to the judiciary, relationships with politics, and corruption," he noted.
In this regard, he argued that removing Adorni without first resolving these underlying structural problems would have a limited impact on the crisis facing the government. He indicated that other political moves within the presidential palace should precede such a decision.
According to him, before considering Adorni's potential departure, the executive branch should strive to regain the ability to...
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Alejandro Catterberg stated that removing Manuel Adorni from the government might not resolve the political crisis facing the ruling party, and that such a decision could even lead to new problems for Javier Milei's administration. The political analyst made this assessment of the current political situation in Argentina during an interview on "Odisea Argentina" on LN+.
"Having Adorni is a headache, but perhaps removing him will create a new headache in the near future," said the director of the Poliarquía consulting firm, analyzing the situation facing the ruling party and the potential impact of Adorni's departure. He explained that there are deeper conflicts related to internal disputes, relationships with the judiciary, and political tensions that influence the functioning of the ruling party. "There's a second level, a bit below the surface, that involves power struggles related to the judiciary, relationships with politics, and corruption," he noted.
Catterberg analyzed the difficulty the government faces in resolving the controversy surrounding Adorni. He argued that removing Adorni without first addressing these underlying structural problems would have a limited impact on the crisis facing the government. He indicated that other political moves within the Casa Rosada should precede any potential departure of the Chief of Staff. According to him, before considering Adorni's removal, the executive branch should strive to regain control of the public agenda, reduce internal divisions within La Libertad Avanza, modify the strategy of constant confrontation with the press, and move towards a broader political base. For the analyst, all these changes should occur before removing the Chief of Staff.
Catterberg believes that the Casa Rosada has been experiencing a period of decline for the past two months, marked by a loss of control over the public agenda, a resurgence of political tensions, and a decline in social support. However, he clarified that the situation is "not dramatic" and that Milei still maintains approval ratings above 40%. According to the political analyst, the government has lost between 10 and 12 percentage points in opinion polls since the last electoral validation.
In the interview with LN+, Catterberg stated that the government had "the best summer since it came to power," and explained that the fragmented opposition and La Libertad Avanza's leadership in the polls allowed for a relatively favorable projection for the Casa Rosada. However, he considered that in recent weeks, there has been a visible deterioration in public opinion. He emphasized that the government has lost between 10 and 12 percentage points since the post-election period, a decline he described as "significant" due to its speed. The consultant attributed this decline to a combination of economic and political factors, including the impact of inflation on incomes and the reappearance of criticisms related to the government's methods and its claim to represent something different from traditional politics.
Catterberg explained that a group of people represented by Patricia Bullrich are not fond of the government's methods. He differentiated two sectors affected within Milei's electorate. On one hand, he identified voters from Peronism who supported the President and who are now feeling the economic deterioration more strongly. On the other hand, he spoke of sectors identified with Patricia Bullrich and with center-right voters who supported the libertarian in the runoff election and who are now beginning to question certain behaviors. "That sector—the one represented by Bullrich—believed in the idea of 'we are different,'" he said. For Catterberg, scandals and certain official behaviors have eroded that perception among those who valued the promise of political renewal. In this context, he noted: "There's nothing more elitist than getting on a private plane and going to Punta del Este."
In the economic sphere, Catterberg stated that Argentina is heading towards "mediocre stability." He added: "Inflation is staying where it is; it's not going to start at 0%." In the final part of the conversation, he also analyzed the electoral scenario and pointed out that much of the future political landscape will depend on the degree of fragmentation within both the ruling party and the opposition. In this regard, he mentioned Mauricio Macri, Karina Milei, Axel Kicillof, and Cristina Kirchner as key players.